Quarterly Resiliency Forecast-Fall 2025
The Risks We’re Watching — and What You Can Do About Them
The year may be winding down, but risks aren’t taking a break. In fact, three of them, cyber threats, supply chain disruptions, and the spread of disinformation, are showing up more often and in more connected ways than before. They aren’t new, but their speed and interconnectedness make them more urgent than ever. For businesses and organizations, this means bigger challenges and less room to wait. That’s why we’re highlighting them now — and sharing what you can do about each one.
Risk 1: Cyber Threats
Over the past few months, we’ve seen cyber attackers grow increasingly sophisticated. Ransomware campaigns now use advanced social engineering, phishing emails are harder to spot, and supply chain attacks exploit vendors as backdoors into larger organizations. Smaller businesses are also being targeted as stepping stones to bigger ones, and regulatory requirements around data protection are becoming more stringent. A successful attack doesn’t just cost money—it can halt operations, erode customer trust, and trigger legal or regulatory fallout.
How to Prepare & Mitigate The best defense is a mix of prevention and resilience. Start with regular risk assessments to identify critical systems and weak points. Apply “zero trust” principles—limit user privileges, segment networks, and enforce strong identity management. Because prevention isn’t foolproof, test your incident response plans with tabletop exercises, and ensure reliable, off-site backups are in place. Stay current on regulatory requirements, and invest in ongoing cyber awareness training for staff. Finally, vet your third-party vendors for strong cyber hygiene—your risk is tied to theirs.
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Risk 2: Supply Chain Disruptions
Global supply chains continue to feel the strain of overlapping challenges: geopolitical conflicts, climate-related disasters, labor shortages, and transportation delays. Lean, just-in-time models leave little room for error, and even one missing component can shut down production or delay deliveries. These disruptions can increase costs, disappoint customers, and damage reputations.
How to Prepare & Mitigate Start by mapping your supply chain beyond just your tier-1 vendors—know where your critical materials truly come from. Build flexibility into your operations by diversifying suppliers, maintaining relationships with multiple logistics providers, and holding limited buffer inventory for essential items. Stress-test your operations with scenario planning: what if a port closes, or a critical supplier fails? Adjust contracts to include clear communication and contingency terms. The goal isn’t to eliminate risk entirely, but to create options and visibility so you can adapt quickly when disruptions occur.
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Risk 3: Disinformation Spread
Disinformation is no longer confined to politics—it increasingly threatens businesses too. False or misleading claims can spread quickly across social media, eroding brand reputation, shaking investor confidence, and confusing employees or customers. In a crisis, disinformation often fills the information vacuum before organizations can get their messages out, complicating an already challenging response.
How to Prepare & Mitigate
The first line of defense is monitoring: know what’s being said about your organization across news, forums, and social platforms. Build credibility with your stakeholders ahead of time through transparency, so your communications are more trusted when false narratives emerge. Develop a rapid-response playbook that defines who responds, what channels to use, and how to quickly correct misinformation. Train employees so they don’t unintentionally amplify false claims. Finally, understand your legal and platform options—sometimes harmful content can be challenged or removed.
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The TRI Influence
Attend the Peace Hospitality Summit & Awards 2025 in Dubai on October 9. We’re proud to share that TRI’s Board Advisor, Prashant Nayak, will be taking the stage as a featured speaker. Adding to this milestone, Prashant has also been appointed as a Senior Fellow of the Global Peace Institute (GPI), a UK-based think tank dedicated to advancing peace, resilience, and global collaboration. This prestigious recognition highlights his unwavering commitment to peacebuilding and leadership—we can’t wait to celebrate his impact on the global stage!
Register for the annual Critical Infrastructure and Protection North America Conference 2026, where TRI is proud to be an Executive Sponsor! We’re excited to offer our network a 20% delegate discount—use code RESI20 when booking. Don’t miss this opportunity to connect with industry leaders, explore the latest technologies, and join critical conversations on infrastructure protection and resilience. Plus, our CEO, Andrea Davis, and Board Chair, Joseph Threat, will be taking the stage to share TRI’s thought leadership on public-private partnerships and national and regional preparedness.
Subscribe to TRI’s YouTube channel and be the first to watch our upcoming series: Profiles in Resiliency: Stories of Hope and Tenacity. Uncut from America’s Heartland. This passion project, led by Andrea, brings friends and colleagues to the TRI couch to share authentic stories of grit, perseverance, and resiliency. Each conversation captures the heart of what it means to rise above challenges and inspire others along the way.
The Resiliency Initiative’s Rogers, Arkansas office.
Philanthropy In Action
At TRI, we know that strong communities aren’t built by plans alone but by the compassion and care we show one another in times of need. That’s why philanthropy is at the heart of our mission. We believe philanthropy bolsters a community’s resilience on a micro and macro level. This fuels our steadfast commitment to supporting resiliency-focused organizations around the world.
This year, we’re honored to continue supporting The Resilient Foundation, a women-led, community-driven nonprofit based in rural India. The Resilient Foundation empowers vulnerable communities through education and resilience-building programs worldwide. Closer to home, we’re partnering with the Siskiyou County, California, Humane Society to help purchase an emergency response vehicle, ensuring animals can be safely evacuated and cared for during crises.
These efforts remind us that resilience is about people—and yes, even our furry friends—standing stronger together.
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Faith Newton, Chief Client Engagement Officer, and Brianna Lentz, Emergency Manager, with representatives from the Siskiyou, California, Humane Society.
Recent Blog Posts
July 2025: What Every Leader Needs to Know About Cyber Resilience
August 2025: Hurricane Katrina, Frisco Red and the Power of Collaboration
Editor’s Note
Last Friday marked a very special milestone for TRI as we opened our third office—right in my hometown of Redding, California. The day was filled with gratitude and joy, especially as I reconnected with friends from my elementary school days and shared this new chapter with the community that raised me.
Redding is where I first learned the true meaning of resilience, community, and connection—values that continue to guide everything we do at The Resiliency Initiative. Opening this office feels like coming full circle, and I’m excited for the impact we’ll create together from this new home.
— Andrea Davis, President & CEO
Andrea Davis, President & CEO; Faith Newton, Chief Client Engagement Officer; and Brianna Lentz, Emergency Manager at TRI’s Redding, California homecoming celebration on September 12, 2025.
About TRI
At TRI, we’re more than consultants—we’re partners in helping communities and organizations thrive through crisis. As a certified women-owned and run small business enterprise, we take pride in being a boutique firm with a personal touch, delivering high-impact, hands-on support tailored to the unique needs of every client we serve.
For communities, we focus on what matters most: hazard mitigation, evacuation planning, continuity of operations, and dynamic training and exercises that build real-world readiness. For organizations, our strength lies in business continuity planning and simulations that keep operations steady, even in the most uncertain times.
What sets us apart is the depth of our experience. Our leadership team brings decades of firsthand expertise from FEMA, Fortune 500 corporations, the military, local governments, and the nonprofit sector. We don’t just check boxes—we empower people to lead with confidence when it matters most.
To request a free consultation, email info@theresiliencyinitiative.com or call +1 (877) TRI-7191
